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19 Jul 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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80.5%
Molde
12.1%
Draw
7.4%
Strømsgodset

Expected Goals (xG)

2.96

Molde

vs
0.82

Strømsgodset

Markets

BTTS52.8%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.589.0%
Over 2.572.7%
Over 3.552.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.0%
3-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-0
7.3%
1-0
6.8%
4-1
6.0%
1-1
5.5%
5-0
4.3%
5-1
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).