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AHT: 02CSV

29 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.2%
Forest Green
17.3%
Draw
70.4%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

0.80

Forest Green

vs
2.24

Stockport

Markets

BTTS48.7%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.0%
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
9.0%
1-1
8.2%
1-3
7.2%
0-4
5.0%
0-0
4.4%
1-0
4.2%
1-4
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
2-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).