Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.3%
Sp Braga
18.0%
Draw
11.7%
Nacional
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Sp Braga
vs
0.72
Nacional
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.3%
1-1
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
5.5%
4-0
4.9%
0-1
4.6%
4-1
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).