Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.8%
Walsall
22.6%
Draw
26.6%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Walsall
vs
1.20
Sutton
Markets
BTTS57.4%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-0
8.0%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
0-0
4.8%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).