Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.1%
Cardiff
25.7%
Draw
55.2%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Cardiff
vs
1.69
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
0-1
11.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.4%
0-3
6.0%
1-0
5.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-1
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).