Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.6%
Harrogate
26.6%
Draw
54.8%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Harrogate
vs
1.40
Colchester
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.0%
0-2
12.3%
0-0
12.1%
1-1
11.4%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.3%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
4.0%
1-3
3.9%
2-0
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
0-4
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).