Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.2%
Samsunspor
36.4%
Draw
29.4%
Alanyaspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Samsunspor
vs
1.02
Alanyaspor
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.8%
0-0
15.2%
1-0
9.8%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).