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04 Dec 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.6%
Cove Rangers
23.8%
Draw
26.6%
Dumbarton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.88

Cove Rangers

vs
1.33

Dumbarton

Markets

BTTS63.1%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.1%
1-0
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
4.7%
0-0
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
3-2
4.0%
0-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).