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AHT: 00CSV

21 Feb 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.2%
Rochdale
18.5%
Draw
66.3%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Rochdale

vs
2.18

Stockport

Markets

BTTS53.2%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.560.1%
Over 3.537.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
10.6%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
1-1
8.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-2
4.6%
1-0
4.5%
0-4
4.2%
2-1
4.2%
0-0
4.1%
1-4
3.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).