Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.0%
Denizlispor
34.7%
Draw
31.4%
Kasimpasa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Denizlispor
vs
1.14
Kasimpasa
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.5%
0-0
12.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).