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AHT: 02CSV

13 Dec 2020 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.3%
Logrones
29.6%
Draw
40.1%
Espanol

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Logrones

vs
1.14

Espanol

Markets

BTTS41.4%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.515.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.3%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
12.3%
1-0
11.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).