Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.0%
Wolfsburg
19.3%
Draw
12.8%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
Wolfsburg
vs
0.90
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.539.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.1%
1-0
8.8%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
4.7%
0-0
4.7%
2-2
4.4%
4-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).