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AHT: 04

14 Sept 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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0.0%
Nailsea & Tickenham
0.2%
Draw
99.8%
Chippenham Town

Expected Goals (xG)

0.68

Nailsea & Tickenham

vs
9.58

Chippenham Town

Markets

BTTS49.4%
Over 0.5100.0%
Over 1.599.9%
Over 2.599.6%
Over 3.598.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-5
3.7%
1-5
2.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.4%
0-2
0.3%
3-5
0.2%
2-3
0.2%
1-2
0.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).