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HHT: 21CSV

21 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.6%
Nancy
19.2%
Draw
67.2%
Auxerre

Expected Goals (xG)

0.70

Nancy

vs
1.93

Auxerre

Markets

BTTS42.4%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.7%
0-2
13.4%
1-2
9.4%
1-1
9.0%
0-3
8.6%
0-0
6.4%
1-3
6.1%
1-0
5.8%
0-4
4.1%
2-1
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
1-4
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).