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AHT: 02CSV

23 Dec 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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4.4%
Eupen
17.5%
Draw
78.1%
St. Gilloise

Expected Goals (xG)

0.32

Eupen

vs
2.03

St. Gilloise

Markets

BTTS24.0%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
19.7%
0-1
19.0%
0-3
13.4%
0-0
9.9%
0-4
6.8%
1-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-0
2.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-2
1.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).