Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.8%
Marseille
22.3%
Draw
42.9%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Marseille
vs
1.76
Lens
Markets
BTTS65.3%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.542.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
2-2
6.8%
0-1
6.6%
1-0
5.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.1%
2-3
4.0%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).