Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.8%
Lens
23.2%
Draw
20.0%
Strasbourg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Lens
vs
0.91
Strasbourg
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.527.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.7%
1-1
11.0%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
6.9%
0-1
6.9%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).