Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.7%
Genk
23.8%
Draw
26.5%
Waregem
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Genk
vs
1.32
Waregem
Markets
BTTS62.5%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.2%
1-0
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
4.9%
0-0
4.7%
3-0
4.5%
3-2
3.9%
0-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).