Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Karpaty
29.4%
Draw
21.4%
Obolon'
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Karpaty
vs
0.76
Obolon'
Markets
BTTS39.3%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.534.3%
Over 3.515.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
0-0
13.0%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
10.8%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
4.8%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).