Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.1%
Cosenza
31.4%
Draw
41.5%
Livorno
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Cosenza
vs
1.24
Livorno
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-1
12.5%
0-0
12.5%
1-0
9.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
3.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).