Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.9%
Ponferradina
28.0%
Draw
34.0%
Sabadell
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Ponferradina
vs
1.11
Sabadell
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
12.0%
0-1
11.2%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).