Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.2%
Wrexham
16.8%
Draw
13.0%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23
Wrexham
vs
0.82
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.8%
1-1
7.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
4.9%
0-1
4.6%
4-1
4.0%
0-0
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
1-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).