Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.7%
Mainz
27.2%
Draw
39.0%
RB Leipzig
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Mainz
vs
1.42
RB Leipzig
Markets
BTTS56.2%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-2
8.6%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
0-0
7.3%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
2-0
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).