Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.5%
Burnley
13.8%
Draw
2.6%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30
Burnley
vs
0.26
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS21.1%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
20.4%
1-0
17.3%
3-0
15.7%
4-0
9.0%
0-0
8.1%
2-1
5.3%
1-1
5.0%
5-0
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
0-1
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).