Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.7%
Luton
27.6%
Draw
25.7%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Luton
vs
0.81
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS37.8%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.558.8%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.2%
0-0
12.2%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.8%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.2%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.2%
2-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).