Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.8%
Bradford
25.9%
Draw
22.3%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Bradford
vs
0.83
Accrington
Markets
BTTS42.4%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
10.7%
0-0
9.9%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.6%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).