Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.5%
Swindon
25.0%
Draw
37.5%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Swindon
vs
1.33
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
0-1
9.9%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
0-0
6.5%
0-2
6.2%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).