Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.8%
Dundee United
27.6%
Draw
50.7%
Motherwell
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Dundee United
vs
1.48
Motherwell
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.3%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
10.3%
0-0
10.0%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).