Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.2%
Kasımpaşa
35.4%
Draw
35.4%
Samsunspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Kasımpaşa
vs
1.19
Samsunspor
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.7%
0-0
13.9%
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
7.9%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).