Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.6%
Como
21.5%
Draw
9.8%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Como
vs
0.63
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.5%
1-0
13.7%
1-1
10.0%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.3%
3-1
6.0%
4-0
4.7%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
3.0%
1-2
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).