Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.3%
Bolton
20.1%
Draw
16.7%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Bolton
vs
0.82
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
2-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
3-0
7.4%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).