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AHT: 01CSV

11 Jan 2019

Metz

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.7%
Orleans
22.7%
Draw
52.6%
Metz

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Orleans

vs
1.64

Metz

Markets

BTTS50.8%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.3%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.0%
0-0
6.0%
1-3
5.2%
0-3
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).