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18 Sept 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.7%
Samsunspor
31.1%
Draw
42.2%
Buyuksehyr

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Samsunspor

vs
1.55

Buyuksehyr

Markets

BTTS58.1%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.9%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
4.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).