Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.0%
Liverpool
19.3%
Draw
16.7%
Brighton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
Liverpool
vs
0.98
Brighton
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
1-1
9.0%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
7.1%
2-2
4.9%
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
0-0
4.1%
4-0
3.8%
4-1
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).