Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.3%
Tranmere
16.4%
Draw
70.3%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Tranmere
vs
2.45
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS56.3%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.566.4%
Over 3.544.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
8.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-3
7.8%
1-1
7.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-4
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
2-3
3.8%
2-1
3.7%
1-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).