Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.9%
Marseille
14.9%
Draw
12.2%
Paris FC
Expected Goals (xG)
2.64
Marseille
vs
0.99
Paris FC
Markets
BTTS58.1%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.587.4%
Over 2.570.3%
Over 3.549.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
1-0
7.4%
1-1
6.5%
4-0
5.4%
4-1
5.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-2
4.0%
1-2
3.4%
0-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).