Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.9%
Sociedad
25.1%
Draw
23.1%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Sociedad
vs
1.01
Eibar
Markets
BTTS51.6%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
0-0
7.3%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).