Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.9%
Pau FC
27.9%
Draw
47.1%
AGF
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Pau FC
vs
1.50
AGF
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
0-1
11.0%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
9.0%
0-2
9.0%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.3%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).