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30 Mar 2025 · 12:15

Basel

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.9%
Inter
22.7%
Draw
61.3%
Basel

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Inter

vs
2.21

Basel

Markets

BTTS60.4%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.563.9%
Over 3.541.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.2%
0-3
6.7%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
0-0
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
1-4
4.0%
2-3
3.9%
0-4
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).