Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.9%
St Johnstone
31.3%
Draw
28.8%
St Mirren
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
St Johnstone
vs
0.95
St Mirren
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.535.5%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
13.2%
0-0
12.9%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
3.2%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).