Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.2%
Napoli
27.2%
Draw
39.6%
Como
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Napoli
vs
1.26
Como
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
0-1
11.7%
1-0
10.5%
0-0
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).