Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.8%
AFC Wimbledon
24.6%
Draw
18.7%
Tranmere
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
AFC Wimbledon
vs
0.76
Tranmere
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.8%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
11.2%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.0%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.5%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).