Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.2%
Crawley Town
20.7%
Draw
45.1%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Crawley Town
vs
1.86
Reading
Markets
BTTS66.4%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.566.9%
Over 3.545.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-1
7.5%
2-2
6.9%
0-1
6.7%
1-0
5.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-3
4.3%
2-0
4.0%
3-1
4.0%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).