Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.5%
Portsmouth
23.5%
Draw
18.0%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Portsmouth
vs
0.71
Exeter
Markets
BTTS39.2%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.1%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
10.5%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.3%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.2%
0-2
2.6%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).