Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.0%
Andorra
25.7%
Draw
14.3%
Lugo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Andorra
vs
0.58
Lugo
Markets
BTTS34.0%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.561.4%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.9%
2-0
14.1%
0-0
12.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
4-0
2.7%
2-2
2.3%
0-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).