Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.7%
Cardiff
16.4%
Draw
10.8%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
Cardiff
vs
0.68
Wigan
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.7%
1-0
13.2%
3-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-0
5.4%
0-0
5.0%
0-1
4.6%
4-1
3.7%
2-2
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).