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20 Apr 2025 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.7%
La Coruna
27.6%
Draw
20.7%
Tenerife

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

La Coruna

vs
0.75

Tenerife

Markets

BTTS39.5%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.5%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
11.8%
2-0
11.2%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).