Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.6%
Galatasaray
16.2%
Draw
4.2%
Erzurum BB
Expected Goals (xG)
2.60
Galatasaray
vs
0.55
Erzurum BB
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.4%
3-0
12.5%
1-0
9.6%
4-0
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).