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AHT: 00CSV

03 Oct 2025 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.2%
Amiens
22.7%
Draw
41.1%
Boulogne

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Amiens

vs
1.52

Boulogne

Markets

BTTS58.2%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.533.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.5%
0-1
9.0%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.4%
0-0
4.4%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).