Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.4%
Leicester
24.6%
Draw
24.0%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Leicester
vs
1.18
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS58.9%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.7%
0-1
5.1%
3-0
5.0%
3-2
3.5%
0-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).